Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000114 0.000125 0.000138 0.000152 0.000167 0.000184 0.000204
2026-01-25 0.000090 0.000107 0.000126 0.000149 0.000178 0.000211 0.000254
2026-02-01 0.000076 0.000095 0.000119 0.000149 0.000188 0.000237 0.000304
2026-02-08 0.000066 0.000086 0.000111 0.000147 0.000194 0.000257 0.000346
2026-02-15 0.000058 0.000078 0.000105 0.000143 0.000197 0.000272 0.000384
2026-02-22 0.000053 0.000074 0.000102 0.000144 0.000207 0.000296 0.000436
2026-03-01 0.000049 0.000071 0.000101 0.000147 0.000218 0.000323 0.000494
2026-03-08 0.000045 0.000065 0.000096 0.000144 0.000219 0.000335 0.000531
2026-03-15 0.000040 0.000060 0.000090 0.000139 0.000217 0.000342 0.000561
2026-03-22 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000140 0.000225 0.000365 0.000619
2026-03-29 0.000036 0.000056 0.000087 0.000141 0.000234 0.000390 0.000682
2026-04-05 0.000033 0.000053 0.000084 0.000140 0.000236 0.000404 0.000727
2026-04-12 0.000031 0.000051 0.000083 0.000140 0.000243 0.000428 0.000796
2026-04-19 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000138 0.000246 0.000444 0.000851
2026-04-26 0.000027 0.000046 0.000078 0.000138 0.000252 0.000467 0.000924
2026-05-03 0.000025 0.000043 0.000075 0.000136 0.000253 0.000481 0.000982
2026-05-10 0.000023 0.000041 0.000072 0.000132 0.000253 0.000492 0.001032
2026-05-17 0.000022 0.000040 0.000071 0.000134 0.000261 0.000521 0.001126
2026-05-24 0.000022 0.000039 0.000071 0.000136 0.000272 0.000557 0.001239
2026-05-31 0.000020 0.000037 0.000068 0.000133 0.000271 0.000566 0.001293
2026-06-07 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000128 0.000266 0.000568 0.001331
2026-06-14 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000129 0.000274 0.000599 0.001442
2026-06-21 0.000017 0.000033 0.000064 0.000131 0.000283 0.000632 0.001564